NFL Power Rankings Week 2-The new reality

Two games means two different sets of data points we can examine to assess all 32 NFL teams. It's obviously been a crazy two weeks on and off the field (mostly off) and there has been no shortage of upsets. Hyped up teams like the Saints and Colts are 0-2 while teams like the Bills and Panthers are a surprising 2-0. The power rankings are not necessarily where I feel they will ultimately end up but more how they are trending right now. Enjoy.


32. Oakland Raiders:0-2
Trending- Steady, at the bottom of a large crevice they fell into.

It's only a matter of time till Dennis Allen gets his marching orders. This team has one of the worst rosters over the past 5 years. They could be facing a 0-16 season. GM Reggie McKenzie should go as well, teams which pin their starting QB hopes on Matt Flynn and Matt Schaub aren't cut out to manage an NFL team.
Upcoming schedule- @Patriots, vs Miami, BYE- Dolphins could be the best chance to sneak a win this year.

31. Jacksonville Jaguars: 0-2
Trending- Plummeting down the same crevice that the Raiders are in because one of the offensive lineman cut the rope.

Since the Jaguars were up 17-0 in the first half against the Eagles in Week 1 they have conceded 76 points and scored 10. They allowed ten sacks against Washington D.C. Ten!! They only got 8 first downs the whole game! The Offensive Line is officially the worst  in the NFL and Henne is providing nothing at QB. The question is whether you throw Blake Bortles in to be slaughtered and irreparably damaged like Blaine Gabbert in 2011 or do you let Henne take it and take the losses? A tough call but Jags fans deserve better.This defense is supposed to be much better than this and they have no excuses for allowing so many points.

Upcoming schedule- vs Colts, @ Chargers, vs Steelers. Not the worst schedule in terms of the opposition pass rush but they will be lucky to contend in any of these games let alone win.

30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-2 
Trending- Skydiving into crevice with no parachute, there is no stopping them.

One of the trendy picks to do well this year, no other teams stock has plummeted in such a short space of time. Losing your first two games at home to backup QB's is going to do that. Lovie Smith's contract must have a clause that he doesn't field a competent O Line ever. Their major FA acquisitions on defense haven't made any impacts outside of Clinton McDonald and Josh McCown looks like the pre-Marc Trestman McCown we all know and distrust. The loss of their best DT Gerald McCoy to a broken hand only confirms that this team is in for a long and painful year.

Upcoming schedule- @Falcons, @Steelers, @Saints. Matt Ryan, Ben Roethelisberger, Drew Brees + no pass rush= three losses.

29. New York Giants:0-2 
Trending- Flat lining since their Super Bowl victory three years ago.

The Giants have been under the radar bad for years now. Consistently poor starters under Tom Coughlin, the Giants are in need of a complete overhaul which should have begun this offseason with the firing of Coughlin and GM Jerry Reese. Reese has done a shocking job retooling this roster and flat out ignoring the LB and TE positional groups. With the offense looking so bad and devoid of receiving options for Eli Manning to have a remote chance of succeeding, this side is looking at back to back lost seasons. They may win some games late this year but they might as well suck and grab a higher pick in the draft for the rebuild to start a fresh.

Upcoming schedule- vs Texans, @Washington D.C, vs Falcons- all those teams have weaknesses but the Giants will struggle to capitalise on them with this offense and QB.

28. Kansas City Chiefs: 0-2

Trending- Somehow made a Formula 1 podium in a Ford V8 last year. This year they decided to race in the same Ford V8 with only three wheels and a one armed driver (Alex Smith). Translation- Not well.

The Chiefs were undoubtedly going to have a step back from a ridiculous 12 wins last year but they could have at least tried to compete this year.They had one of the worst offseasons this year, losing the majority of their starting O Line. They inexcusably didn't add any significant help at WR despite it being poor group last year. They cut CB Brandon Flowers leaving the secondary weak and then they tied up cap space to an average Alex Smith who needs help around him to succeed. Genius. This team was relying on their defensive front 7 to win them games until the loss of pro bowler LB Derrick Johnson for the season destroyed that hope in the first game. This team doesn't have the firepower to score in any shootout and the defense is average at best now. 5-7 wins is looking most likely.
Upcoming schedule: @Dolphins, vs Patriots, @49ers. One win at the most here.

27. St Louis Rams: 1-1

Trending- Your standard Jeff Fisher mediocre season so steady.

The Rams are the most frustrating franchise to observe. They definitely won the RGIII trade in my eyes, they have added a lot of talent yet the coaching staff can't seem to get the best of the players or put them in positions to thrive. Jeff Fisher is perhaps the most overrated head coach in the NFL. For all his longevity he has a plainly ordinary 157-138 Win-Loss regular season record. He is the epitome of average. To make matters worse his coordinators maybe the worst fits for this team. Brian Schottenheimer doesn't deserve to be on any NFL team as a offensive coordinator with his vanilla,predictable playcalling. Defensive Coordinator Gregg Williams blitz heavy schemes aren't needed by a team with perhaps the best defensive line in the NFL. I would love to see this team run by a Chip Kelly/Mike McCoy visionary who can turn an average roster into a playoff contender. Alas the Rams choose Fisher and his antiquated ways.

Upcoming schedule- vs Cowboys, BYE, @ Eagles- They could upset the Cowboys but I wouldn't count on it.



26. Washington D.C: 1-1

Trending- In the eye of the hurricane-the calm before the drop

The domination of the Jaguars hides the fact for at least one week that this team is not very good.Kirk Cousins looked capable as Robert 'Glass" Griffen III injured himself again but he is not the long term solution. We have seen him look good for a game or two before spectacular collapses. The defense is really bad and will get exposed by the Eagles this week and we will go back to thinking this team is a bottom third team.
Upcoming schedule- @ Eagles, Giants, Seahawks.

25. Minnesota Vikings: 1-1

Trending- Big Dive

Full of promise after Week 1, even touted as a playoff sleeper the loss of Adrian Peterson along with a crushing loss to the Patriots has left the Vikings in a bad place. There is some hope with Teddy Bridgewater waiting in the wings to take over at QB but with AP indefinitely out this offense becomes one dimensional. Upcoming schedule- @Saints, Falcons, @Packers- This part of the schedule isn't as hard as it looked before the start of the season but they will still be fortunate to get a win from this.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1-1

Trending- Steady but not inspiring

The Steelers under Mike Tomlin have been quietly disappointing, this is not a Steelers of old team. They have handled the cap really poorly over the past 5 years by extending ageing players and failing to draft well. There defense has been gashed on the ground by the Ravens and the Browns while their secondary is old. Mike Tomlin could be looking for a new job at the end of the year if they don't make the playoffs with this schedule. Upcoming schedule- @Panthers, vs Bucs, @Jags. The schedule has opened up nicely for them If they don't come out 2-1 from this they will be playing catch up with the rest of the AFC North.

23. New York Jets: 1-1

Trending- Steady but barely

Every year the Jets organisation talk themselves up as a team to fear and every year Rex Ryan and his merry men find ways to under perform. They played a fantastic game at Green Bay until they collapsed in the third quarter and called an illegal timeout which negated a tying TD. This could have been the high mark of the year considering how poorly the Raiders and Packers have been and how inevitable that Rex will turn to Mike Vick despite Geno Smiths improvements at QB. We've seen this all before people and it never works out for the Jets.

Upcoming schedule- vs Bears, vs Lions, Chargers.- The first two are winnable at home but I can't see them winning on the West Coast.

22. Miami Dolphins:1-1

Trending- Down

What we learnt about the Dolphins so far: Eight quarters played, two were great, six were terrible. Injured Knowshon Moreno IS the running game, Ryan Tannehill can't throw a deep ball. The linebackers are awful. If this team couldn't compete against the Bills than how are they going to play against the good teams? Joe Philbin has to do a better job than last week to retain his job at the end of the year.

Upcoming schedule- vs Chiefs, @Raiders, vs Packers- maybe the easiest schedule over the next three weeks. Less than two wins is unacceptable. The way the Packers have been playing they could beat them at home.

21.Tennessee Titans:1-1

Trending- Down

A promising first week followed by a bad second week means my preseason prediction of 8-8 is most likely. Locker just doesn't provide the consistency and accuracy needed to start for an NFL team. The defense may not be as bad as people thought they would be which is a positive. Upcoming schedule- @Bengals, @Colts, vs Browns- Three tough but winnable games.

20. Dallas Cowboys:1-1

Trending- Steady but never in a good way

The Cowboys may have figured out that running the ball is the best way to keep Tony Romo making mistakes. The defense has played ok considering it looked like it was going to be historically bad. That can still happen and they haven't faced a top offense yet so we will wait and see. The Cowboys are going to be extremely up and down this year so be prepared for storylines galore.

Upcoming Schedule- @Rams, vs Saints, vs Texans- Dallas could win or lose any of these games. It will be interesting to see whether the Cowboys offense can score against good Rams/Texans defenses and whether the Defense can stop the Saints.



19. Green Bay Packers: 1-1

Trending- Clinging on to prevent a precipitous drop to mediocrity.

This team is not good. Dom Capers defense can't stop anyone right now and the offensive line yet again can't protect Rodgers. They were fortunate the Jets imploded .in the second half last week because they should be 0-2 right now. This team is not a shoo in for the playoffs.

Upcoming schedule- @Lions, @Bears, vs Vikings- Three divisional games in a row, on paper they are favorites in all three but they could lose all three.

18. Chicago Bears: 1-1

Trending- Same as their divisional rivals above.

The Bears can thank Colin Kaepernick choking for not being 0-2. This team doesn't look good at all. Cutler has struggled moving the ball consistently and Matt Forte isn't being used as effectively as last year. Injures are really impacting the offensive line and wide receiver corp and  CB Charles Tillman is done for the year which is a huge blow. This team was touted to win the division this year which could happen but compared to the rest of the NFC this team looks bad.

Upcoming schedule- @Jets, vs Packers, @Panthers- If the Bears can keep a clean pocket for Cutler he can dismantle both the Jets and Panthers secondaries. Bears have to get out of this 2-1 to stay in the NFC North race.

17. Atlanta Falcons:1-1

Trending- Neither up nor down but big weaknesses.

This team is going to be in a shootout every week with one of the worst defenses in the league. They have no pass rush. Zilch. If they lose WR Julio Jones for any period of time this team is toast. Mike Smith could be looking for a new job by the end of this year, they just aren't good enough on both sides to be a playoff team.

Upcoming schedule- vs Bucs, @Vikings, @Giants- Three winnable games against teams who might not be able to capitalise on this horrendous defense.

16. Indianapolis Colts: 0-2

Trending: Pep Hamilton's offense is the opposite of trending.

This team has a serious identity crisis. They have the best young QB prospect in the league and they want to take the ball out of his hands to the biggest RB bust in years. It's like they want to prove a point that they can run the ball despite having a offensive line that can't block. And this is the best side of the ball!!!!!! The defense lost its best pass rusher before he even played a snap and can't stop the run either. The AFC South is wide open until the Colts fire Pep Hamilton and probably Chuk Pagano and GM Ryan Grigson. That's not going to happen in a hurry though.

Upcoming schedule- @Jaguars, vs Titans, vs Ravens- If they don't go at least 2-1 here they are in serious trouble.


15. Detroit Lions:1-1

Trending- Matthew Stafford and Jim Caldwell are ALWAYS trending up!!! (sarcasm)

It seems every year Stafford is touted as the next young QB to become 'elite' but I thin k he is who he is. A younger version of Jay Cutler, a gunslinger who doesn't strive to improve. He does well against poor defenses and struggles against good ones. The defense isn't going to help after they failed to improve the secondary for what seems like a millennium. Overrated QB, underwhelming coach= 8-8 team even in a bad NFC North.

Upcoming schedule- vs Packers, @Jets, vs Bills- They will rate themselves against all these teams but will probably only win one of them.

14. New Orleans Saints: 0-2

Trending- Lowly

Losing both games in the last 10 seconds has to hurt this teams chances of winning the NFC like many pundits predicted in the preseason. I never bought into this defense being elite. Rob Ryan has never coached a Top 10 Defense in his NFL career, he's not going to start now. This team can't seem to win away from home which is a problem considering half their games are away. They are in a real battle with the Panthers to win this division.

Upcoming schedule- vs Vikings, @Cowboys, vs Bucs- Anything short of 3-0 would be disastrous for this team.

13. Baltimore Ravens: 1-1

Trending- Slightly up.

The Ravens started of sluggishly but should improve as the offense gets more accustomed to Gary Kubiaks new system. The defense is getting guys back from injury and Steve Smith has given Flacco that intermediate target that he's missed since Anquan Boldin was not resigned.

Upcoming schedule- @Browns, vs Panthers, @Colts- Three tough matches but the Ravens should come out 2-1.

12.Houston Texans: 2-0

Trending: The stench of Matt Schaub is off!

Bill O'Brien's side has had an easy start of the seaon but they are looking fresh and a tough match for any team this year. Arian Foster looks great behind a rejuvenated O Line and the defense looks like it's going to turnover the ball and limit the opposition scoring. They will need to do that because if they can't Ryan Fitzpatrick can't be relied on to lead this team to victories.

Upcoming schedule- @Giants, vs Bills, vs Cowboys- Three winnable games, they have a real chance to jump out to a 5-0 start.

11.  Buffalo Bills: 2-0

Trending- Unfortunately it probably won't get much higher then this.

One of the surprising teams so far, they have done a great job of controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and creating turnovers. This won't continue forever and when it comes time for E.J Manual to lead them from behind to try and win the results are going to be depressing. It was fun while it lasted though!

Upcoming schedule- vs Chargers, @Texans, @Lions- The Chargers should be a good measuring stick for this team. If they can beat them who knows? I see 1-2 here.


10. Philadelphia Eagles- 2-0

Trending- Still undecided.

This Eagles team has had to make historical comebacks to win both games. It's not an encouraging sign they are starting slow and that Nick Foles is missing wide open receivers. The good news is that Darren Sproles looks like the FA signing of the year and they are still in the NFC East. They could have this division wrapped up pretty early if the rest of the division keeps imploding.

Upcoming schedule- vs Washington D.C, @49ers, vs Rams- 3-0 is achievable with the 49ers looking shaky at the moment.


9. Cleveland Browns: 1-1

Trending- Up which almost guarantees next week it will be down because the Browns can never have nice things.

In the preseason I was proclaiming that the Browns defense was going to be Top 5 this year under Mike Pettine  so it's nice to see that coming true. The running game looks very strong with the two rookie RB's behind an excellent line. If Brian Hoyer can continue to manage the game until Josh Gordon gets back this team maybe in the hunt for the AFC North title. Never get your hopes up with the Browns though, something is bound to go wrong.

Upcoming schedule- vs Ravens, BYE, @ Titans- To be taken seriously this year they have to beat the Ravens.


8. San Francisco 49ers: 1-1

Trending: Down and sneakily a plummet candidate.

Since the Cowboys self destructed in the first quarter of Game 1 the 49ers haven't been the dominant side we have known over the past couple of years. The way that Kaepernick blew the Bears game was really disturbing. Despite all their draft picks over the past two years this team is short of depth at all levels on defense. Jim Harbaugh's weird personality can be tolerated while winning but I get the feeling that the players and management are getting tired of his antics. I'm still predicting he moves on at the end of this year.

Upcoming schedule- @Cardinals, vs Eagles, vs Chiefs- The 49ers don't have to beat the Cardinals but they have to at least show they can play a whole 60 min. I see 2-1.

7. Arizona Cardinals: 2-0

Trending- Up but leveling out

I have been impressed by the Cardinals resilience considering the losses they have had to deal with before the season even began. The defense is without Darnell Dockett, Daryl Washington and John Abraham and they still look like a very good unit. Credit goes to coordinator Todd Bowles for keeping this team humming. The bigger issue is whether Carson Palmer can come back from a nerve injury that prevented him playing last week. Drew Stanton doesn't cut it as a starting QB.

Upcoming schedule- vs 49ers, BYE, @Broncos. Two tough games may see them back to .500 but the bye comes at a good time.

6. Carolina Panthers: 2-0

Trending- Up

The most surprising team for me so far. I was expecting a large drop off this year with the multitude of losses they had in the offseason but they just carried on from last year. This defense really is one of the best in the NFL and WR Kelvin Benjamin looks like an instant contributor which can help Cam Newton. They are in the drivers seat to win the NFC South again after the Saints poor start.

Upcoming schedule- vs Steelers, @ Ravens, vs Bears- Three good but flawed teams, the Panthers should go 2-1 if their defense continues to play at such a high level.

5. New England Patriots: 1-1

Trending- Back to normal

Apart from one half where the Patriots got blown out in hot conditions they don't look bad. They don't look great but they do start slow and build as the season goes. The defense looks like it could be very good if they can stay healthy. The offense looks rusty and out of practice but there is still plenty of time for Brady to gel with his receivers.

Upcoming schedule- vs Raiders, @ Chiefs, vs Bengals- The Bengals could provide a stiff test but the Patriots should still go 3-0 in this stretch.

4. Cincinnati Bengals: 2-0

Trending- Up

Another team I am surprised is looking so good is the Bengals. What we have learnt over the past three years though is that it means nothing until the Andy Dalton led Bengals can win a playoff game. He is also going to face better defenses in the regular season and the loss of Marvin Jones, Tyler Eifert and perhaps AJ Green for an extended period time has to hurt this team.

Upcoming schedule- vs Titans, BYE, @Patriots- A win against the Titans will suffice.

3. San Diego Chargers: 1-1

Trending- Sneaky high.

I don't think Mike McCoy and the Chargers are getting enough credit for how well this side has played since he took over last year. They are controlling the possession and playing stifling defense. Beating the world champions at their own game was a sign that they will indeed be a genuine threat for the Broncos this year in the AFC West.

Upcoming schedule- @Bills, vs Jaguars, vs Jets- I see three wins here despite travelling to the Bills. All three teams don't have good QB's who can not turn over the ball.

2. Denver Broncos: 2-0

Trending- Meh

The Broncos have been somewhat disappointing thus far. Peyton Manning doesn't seem to be on the same page with his WR's and Montee Ball has been bad in the run game despite a good offensive line creating holes. The defense also looks weak especially with the linebacking corp faced with several injuries. They are finding out what it's like to have a tougher schedule to last years cakewalk.

Upcoming schedule- @ Seahawks, BYE, vs Arizona- I think they are going to get destroyed again by the Seahawks with that home field advantage and Arizona are a good football team so nothing is a given this year for the Broncos.

1. Seattle Seahawks: 1-1

Trending- A we bit lower than usual but not enough to knock them off the perch.

I don't take too much away from the Chargers loss on the Seahawks side, they were just beaten by a better team on the day. It says a lot that they still had a chance to win the game at the end despite having very little of possession. The defense doesn't look as good as last year but it's still a Top 3 unit. Russell Wilson looks fantastic which means the Seahawks might not have to rely on the defense to win them games this year.

Upcoming schedule- vs Broncos, BYE, @Washinton D.C- 2-0 and still the No.1 in the power rankings.

Always enjoy your feedback.

Week 3 Waiver Wire Pickups

I don't think I can remember so many injuries to key players after such a

Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins, Washington D.C-  RGIII's run with injuries continues as he dislocated his ankle,with the likelihood that he will miss the rest of the season. Cousins came in and immediately looked comfortable in Jay Grudens offense throwing for 250 yards and two scores without turning over the ball. Many were saying he was looking better than RGIII during the preseason so the drop off to Cousins may not be that bad. He did he look terrible last year when he came into play so he's more likely a lowend No.2 QB dependent on matchups. His schedule does look tasty though, he still has all 6 NFC East games left as well as the Titans, Bucs and Colts in Weeks 7,11 and 13 respectfully. In 16-team/2QB leagues he is a must add.

Other QB notes- EJ Manual and Geno Smith have both started well this season but they aren't reliable enough to be valid fantasy options. The Bills are trying to limit the amount of throws Manual because he has been terribly inaccurate and Smith is prone to turnovers and Eric Decker is nursing a hamstring injury as well. Drew Stanton looked bad vs the Giants and despite a good match up this week vs a weak 49ers secondary he can't be trusted yet. In deep leagues he's worth a speculative pickup only because Carson Palmer's nerve injury could keep him out for multiple weeks but he isn't startable.

Running Backs

Knile Davis, Kansas City Chiefs- If the Jamaal Charles owner was foolish enough not to have Davis on their squad then you should capitalise on that mistake. Although Charles high ankle sprain is reported to be not to bad, he could miss a couple of weeks which would make Davis at least a No.2 RB. After going over 100 all purpose yards and scoring two TD's against the Broncos he will face a Dolphins defense who let the Bills run over 100 yards against them. They also have one of the worst LB corps in the NFL despite spending big money on that position last offseason. With the Chiefs short of any receiving threat outside of TE Travis Kelce, Andy Reid is going to use his RB's a lot in the passing game.

Ahmad Bradshaw, Indianapolis Colts- MNF last night just reiterated to the world what we already knew about Trent Richardson, he's just not good. Two fumbles from him may result in Pep Hamilton giving more of the carries to the better back in Bradshaw who had a great game with 96 all purpose yards yards and two receiving TD's. Bradshaw probably won't last the season as he is injury prone but he offers a far superior week by week fantasy option then Richardson will. Bradshaw now becomes a good flex option 12 team leagues and a low end No.2 option in PPR. The Colts also have two good match ups vs the Jags and the Titans so take the chance because you know Richardson is not going to get it done.

Donald Brown, San Diego Chargers, Khiry Robinson New Orleans Saints- There are few things more consistent than Ryan Matthews and Mark Ingram getting injured during the season. This year it came very early with both suffering injuries which will knock them out for at least a month. This leaves the featured back role open in two good offenses. Both Brown and Robinson become automatic RB3/flex options with RB2 upside. Danny Woodhead and Pierre Thomas will siphon off carries on 3rd down but that still leaves a lot of work for these two. Robinson has a great three matches coming up-  vs Vikings, @ Cowboys, vs Buccaneers. Yes please.

Bob Rainey, Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Despite Rainey going crazy against the Rams for 144 yards on 6.5 ypc he isn't in an ideal situation. The Bucs offensive line could be the worst in the league and Doug Martin is slated to come back soon from his knee injury. Rainey does get to face the Falcons defense this week that allowed the Bengals to run for 170 yards and two scores. Pick him up if you are in need of a desperation play this week but don't expect much going forward.

Other RB notes- The hyped Dolphins running game is falling apart before it got going, losing Knowshon Moreno and Lamar Miller to injury this week. They resigned Daniel Thomas but he is not worth a pick up despite facing the Chiefs at home this week. Jeremy Hill is worth a stash on your roster if he's available. Could be a good flex option with the way the Bengals are run blocking and the injuries at wide receiver. If Bernard goes down he is a No.1 RB. Isaiah Crowell should also be owned in every league despite Terrance West carrying the most for the Browns at the moment. Crowell looks good when he touches the ball. If there is an injury to West he would also be a low end No 1 RB with upside.

Wide Receivers

Mohammed Sanu, Cincinaati Bengals- AJ Green is looking like he is out for this weeks game, along with Marvin Jones out with a broken foot which means Sanu is the next best option. They play the Titans who struggled to contain the Cowboys last week. Their best CB Jason McCourty also got injured which would help Sanu as well.

Andrew Hawkins, Cleveland Browns- If he's still on waivers in your PPR leagues then he should be the No.1 priority. TE Jordan Camerons injury has meant Hawkins is the go to guy for sort yardage throws for Hoyer. Guaranteed 8-12 targets a game and he can get open in short spaces.

Brian Quick, St Louis Rams- One of the biggest surprises fantasy wise has that Quick has looked good these first 2 games after two years of nothing. Austin Davis is throwing his way often. He's worth a look as a bye week replacement in the future.

Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers- That's two weeks now that Jarrett Boykin looked bad after only grabbing one catch for 5 yards against a poor Jets secondary. Rookie Adams though picked up 5 for 50 and had a couple of good runs after the catch. Maybe the Packers turn to Adams sooner than expected. He's worth a pickup as the No.3 WR spot on the Packers has been a viable flex option recently.

Andre Roberts, Washington D.C- If DeSean Jackson continues too struggle with his shoulder injury that knocked him out last weekend Roberts could see an up tick in targets. A good route runner and safe hands Cousins might get a connection going.

Other WR notes- Allen Robinson and Cecil Shorts could be the starting WR's for the Jags for the foreseeable future. Add them but don't expect much from them until they start Blake Bortles and sort out the O Line woes. James Jones had a great box score but he got most of his fantasy points in garbage time. Stay away from this Raiders offense, especially with them travelling to the Patriots this week.

Tight Ends 

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs- He should have been picked up last week but he's still available in the majority of fantasy redraft leagues. The Chiefs have to realise he is the only deep ball threat in this offense and they need to get him the ball more then four times. He's facing a Miami Dolphins D who don't have a LB to cover his speed, so if Andy Reid doesn't screw this up he could be in for a good game.

Niles Paul, Washinton D.C- 8 catches for 99 yards and a TD. I think it's safe to say that Cousins trusts Paul. Jordan Redd isn't returning from injury anytime soon so add Paul with confidence.

Larry Donnell, N.Y Giants- It really says something about the woes of the Giants right now that a TE we didn't know exist two weeks ago is Eli Manning's most reliable target right now. Donnell is going to get targets which is all you can ask for from a waiver wire TE. A high end No.2 TE right now if this continues.


Other TE notes- If you are desperate Owen Daniels could be pickup in a Gary Kubiak system which uses 2 TE sets a lot in and targets them in the red zone.

Happy waiver wire hunting!

Start em Sit em Week 2

Start em Sit em Week 2

Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books providing surprises as usual. Two of the top three picks in fantasy drafts were duds (LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles) while undrafted players like Allen Hurns and Isaiah Crowell had big games. Week 2 is a good time to see whether trends will continue from the first week or they are anomalies.

One note about my article- I'm not going to write about obvious starts, you're obviously going to start your Peyton Manning's, LeSean McCoy's and Calvin Johnson's every week. These start em sit ems will be highlighting the players below the elite tiers where you have two or three options around the same level to choose from.
Without further ado:

Start em QB's

Jake Locker vs Cowboys- Ken Whisenhunt has done a great job maximizing his QB production over the years and Locker could be the latest to succeed under his tutelage. Facing the porous Cowboys defense at home Locker should have plenty of time to throw down field to Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter and Delanie Walker. The Cowboys offense should be more competitive this week so expect a shootout which is potentially good for Lockers stats.

I would start him over- Jay Cutler @ 49ers.

Andy Dalton vs Falcons- Dalton has been a very good fantasy option at home over the past year. He faces a great matchup against a Falcons side who can't stop the pass. Another high scoring matchup.

I would start him over-  Russell Wilson @ Chargers, Carson Palmer @ Giants

Tony Romo @ Titans- Let's give Romo a mulligan. The Cowboys were completely unprepared for the the 49ers last week. They have too many good players on the offense for Romo not to be productive unless he is still recovering from his back injury. If he doesn't produce this week it maybe time to change our expectations of him as a No.1 Fantasy QB.

I would start him over Tom Brady @ Vikings,

Deep League/Desperation play-

Ryan Fitzpatrick @ Raiders- Geno Smith managed to look OK vs the Raiders in Week 1 which means Fitzpatrick should be able to surpass his numbers with better weapons around him. In  a 16 team or 2 QB leagues Fitzpatrick should be considered over the likes of Josh McCown, Smith and even Phillip Rivers.

Sit em QB's

Jay Cutler @ 49ers- With injuries to two offensive lineman and his two best Wr's, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey, Cutler is worth a sit this week away in San Francisco. Look for the Bears to utilise Matt Forte in the running game more against a run defense which was exposed by the Cowboys last week. The schedule gets better for Cutler later but this week there are better options.

RGIII vs Jaguars- It looks like an enticing matchup but the truth is RGIII is not the player he was in his rookie year. He has no confidence in running away from pressure or hanging in the pocket and throwing it deep. His game looks to be check downs to RB's and TE's which doesn't produce fantasy points . The Jags D Line isn't bad so they should be able to put up enough pressure on RGIII to keep him off his game. Until he shows you he can get out of this rut he should be on your bench.

Phillip Rivers vs Seahawks- If they can shutdown Aaron Rodgers....

Cam Newton vs Lions- Despite facing a Lions D with an awful secondary I would avoid Newton who is nursing several injuries and maybe rusty. Could take him a couple of weeks to get into form.

Start em RB's

Shane Vereen @ Vikings- The fact that he got goal line work and scored from within 5 yards is significant. Vereen saw the majority of the reps over Ridley and this should continue. He's more valuable in PPR leagues but I think he will be a solid mid No.2 RB in standard for the rest of the year if he can stay healthy. Tom Brady needs his security blanket.

Shonn Greene vs Cowboys- Fantasy Football Rule No.1- start all RB's against the Cowboys this year. Greene was effective vs the Chiefs last week so going for 71 yards on 15 carries. Although he he won't catch passes out of the backfield he will get goal line opportunities, which could be a lot this week. A solid No.2 RB this week.


Frank Gore AND Carlos Hyde vs Bears- Well it looks like the Bears run defense hasn't improved from last year. The Bills gashed them for large gains on the ground and they aren't as good as the 49ers. Gore had a disappointing stat line against the Cowboys, losing a goal line TD to Hyde. However the game was over before it really began so I think the 49ers decided to rest Gore. The Bears game should be closer so expect Gore to see more carries and TD opportunities. He's a high end No.2 this week while Hyde is a good flex option.

Terrance West vs Saints- The loss of Ben Tate inevitably to injury means West gets the start in a what is going to be a very good running team with plenty of opportunities. The Saints defense was trumped up before the season as a potential Top 5 but I never saw it that way, they struggle away from home especially. If the Browns defense can limit Drew Brees then West and fellow rookie Isaiah Crowell will see a lot of work.

Sleeper- Ahmad Bradshaw vs Eagles- I hope people are realizing that Trent Richardson is a bust and shouldn't be started until a change in scheme. Pep Hamilton's power running scheme doesn't suit the personnel and really limits this offense. Bradshaw is the 3rd down back who is going to catch a lot of passes out of the backfield. For that reason he has more fantasy value than Richardson, especially in PPR leagues.

Sit em RB's

Joique Bell & Reggie Bush @ Panthers- Over the last seven games the Panthers have not given up a rushing touchdown.That's not to say that Bell and Bush could get a receiving touchdown but it's not something to bet on against this elite front seven. Bell especially is reliant on TD's to make him fantasy relevant so avoid starting him.

Ryan Matthews vs Seahawks-

The Hawks made Eddie Lacy largely ineffective last week, the same will occur to Matthews.

Zac Stacy @ Buccaneers-

If Austin Davis is going to be starting QB for the Rams you can guarantee the the Bucs will stack at 8 men in the box and dare Davis to beat them through the air. This along with Benny Cunningham siphoning off carries means Stacy is quickly looking like one of the bigger RB busts this year.

Steven Jackson @ Bengals- Despite Jackson running well in week one the Falcons are now a four back committee. Antone Smith, Jacquizz Rodgers and Devonta Freeman all bring their own skills and strengths to this running game which leaves fantasy owners trying to guess which one will produce the most. Avoid this situation until it's clarified through injuries.

Start em WR's

Michael Floyd @ Giants- The Giants couldn't stop Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate so start Floyd with confidence as a low end No.1 WR. Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown can be options for you as well but Floyd looks to be well and truly the No.1 target in the Cardinals offense.

Kendall Wright & Justin Hunter vs Cowboys- Wright only needs one more TD to match last years total while Hunter was targeted the most out of all the Titans wideouts which bodes well for him. Whisenhunt's offense can make both of these guys productive. 

Brandin Cooks & Marques Colston @ Browns- The Saints seemed to have picked an immediate rookie contributor in Cooks who flummoxed the Falcons secondary last week. Both him and Colston are movable chess pieces who can exploit opponents weaknesses in coverage. The Browns have Joe Haden at one CB but the other two spots occupied by Justin Gilbert and Buster Skrines are areas where the Saints can exploit.

Kelvin Benjamin vs Lions- The first week against the Bucs only confirmed to everyone that outside of Greg Olson, Benjamin is the only viable fantasy WR on the Panthers roster. He can physically overpower CB's despite his raw route running abilities. The Lions secondary will pose no threat for him this week.

Jarrett Boykin vs Jets- Boykin was sacrificed last week to the demi-CB god Richard Sherman. The Jets secondary could be the worst in the league. Boykin is a solid No.3 WR this week and going forward.

TY Hilton & Reggie Wayne vs Eagles- If Allen Hurns can burn Cary Williams for 2 scores and 110 yards then Hilton and Wayne will have a field day. Wayne and Hilton were targeted 13 and 11 times respectively against the Broncos, Luck is looking to them first and foremost. Start with confidence.

Andrew Hawkins vs Saints- Hoyer needs somebody to throw to. Hawkins can get open in the short-intermediate areas with his quickness and change of direction. In PPR leagues Hawkins is going to be a solid No.3 the whole year as long as he can stay healthy.

Sit em WR's

Victor Cruz vs Cardinals- The Giants outside of Rashad Jennings can not be trusted fantasy options. Cruz has the talent to be a No.1 WR but this offense is so disjointed and he's facing Patrick Peterson this week. Thankfully will face six games in the NFC East this year but he's not going to be match up proof like you hoped when you drafted him.

Keenan Allen vs Seahawks- The next to experience the Seahawks secondary experience starring Richard Sherman, Byron Maxwell and Earl Thomas making him irrelevant for a game. I would strongly consider dropping him this week.

DeSean Jackson vs Jaguars- His fantasy value is limited by an  Offensive Line unable to protect the QB long enough and RGIII's timidness to throw downhill. Those two factors means Jackson is a very hit and miss fantasy option. Until RGIII shows something you can't trust any of Washington's WR's outside of Garcon.

Danny Amendola @ Vikings- Amendola looked slow and sluggish through the preseason and now a poor start in Week 1 in a favorable matchup is a major red flag. Julian Edleman is obviously Brady's most trusted target outside of Rob Gronkowski and Shane Vereen. Outside of that their maybe very little fantasy value until Aaron Dobson returns from injury.

Start em TE's

Dwayne Allen vs Eagles- If you are an owner of Jordan Cameron or Jordan Reed  this would be a great replacement. Allen, not Coby Fleener is the TE to own in the Colts. You are going to see a lot of 5  receptions for 64 yards and a TD stat lines from him this year. Luck trusts him in the red zone and he doesn't go off the field as he's the best blocking TE in the team. He's going to be a mid to low end No.1 this season for a team that will need to score at least 30 points a week to win.

Delanie Walker vs Cowboys- The LB corp of the Cowboys is atrocious while the safeties will have to help the CB's cover Wright and Hunter on the outside. Walker could be in store for a nice outing this week.

Sleeper- Larry Donnell vs Cardinals- I f you are truly desperate for TE help Donnell could produce something against a Cardinals defense who have trouble stopping TE's. With Eli Manning struggling with his outside throws he may turn to Donnell as much as he did in Week 1.

Sit em TE's

Eric Ebron @ Panthers- Ebron was over drafted in leagues, he was never going to see the targets that people expected him to have where Johnson,Tate,Bush and Bell are all ahead of him. No catches from three targets doesn't inspire confidence to be even a desperation flex.

Start em DST's

Houston Texans @ Raiders- JJ Watt vs rookie Derek Carr? Yes please.

Green Bay Packers vs Jets- Geno Smith is not good people, he just faced  the worst team in the world and he looked OK. The Packers have an extra half week to prepare for him and will be smarting after being demolished by the Seahawks offense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs St Louis Rams- Both defenses should feast on the inept other side of the ball.

Over/Under 2014 NFL Season Preview

Regular Seasonal Win Totals

Arizona Cardinals- 7.5- OVER- Despite the growing list of injured/suspended defensive players I think the improvements on the offensive side should see this team get to .500.

Atlanta Falcons- 8.5- UNDER- The schedule is not as easy as it should be for a bottom six team. The Falcons will face a lot of good defensive teams and their defense is one of the worst in the league.

Baltimore Ravens- 8.5- OVER- I'm a believer in Gary Kubiaks offensive system. If he can make Joe Flacco an average QB this team can be very good. The run game should be much improved as well. Winner of the AFC North.

Buffalo Bills- 6.5- UNDER- This team has 2013 Texans/Bucs meltdown written all over it. Desperate coach sticking by terrible QB= fired by the end of the season.

Carolina Panthers- 7.5-UNDER- Remember after four weeks last year when Ron Rivera was on the verge of being fired? This team somehow got to 12-4 on the back of 2 division rivals collapsing and a elite defense. This year though the holes are too large on the offense and defense to cover. No Left tackle, no WR outside Kelvin Benjamin, an injured Cam Newton, no secondary and a stronger schedule=massive drop off in wins.

Chicago Bears- 8.5- OVER- The Bears look set for a breakout year with an elite offense but you can never trust Jay Cutler to stay healthy for a whole season. Also the defense still has issues at linebacker and safety. The Bears don't have a hard schedule outside of the division but I can't see them getting more then 10 wins if things go there way.

Cincinaati Bengals- 9.5-UNDER- The Bengals had one of the worst off seasons in my opinion, resigning Andy Dalton to a massive contract and losing def coordinator Mike Zimmer. Add this to the fact that their division rivals all improved I don't see the Bengals making the playoffs this year. Dalton just can't get them past good opposition.

Cleveland Browns- 6.5- UNDER- The Browns offseason was a mixture of good and calamity as only the Browns no how to do. They selected some very good prospects in this years draft but they made two colossal mistakes. The first was not selecting a single WR in what was widely known as one of the deepest WR drafts in NFL history even though they knew Josh Gordon was facing suspension for substance abuse. The second was selecting Johnny Manziel instead of Teddy Bridgewater. This pick smelt of the owner stepping in and making the pick for purely news worthy reasons. Manziel is a character concern who's game will not translate in the NFL if he doesn't change his stripes (highly doubtful). With no competent QB and WR on this roster it's going to be very difficult for this team to score this year. The defense could be a Top-5 unit but it won't matter if the offense can't score.

Dallas Cowboys- 7.5- UNDER- Seriously Jerry Jones has to be one of the worst GM's in the NFL in terms of cap management. He has somehow managed to overspend on the wrong players over and over which has led to a team today which looks Top 5 on one side and the worst unit in football on the other. This defense is devoid of playmakers at any level and will struggle to contain any team. If Tony Romo goes down this team could potentially be vying for the No.1 overall pick next year.

Denver Broncos- 11.5-OVER- The Broncos should be just as good offensively but their defense looks much improved with the additions of Talib, Ward and Ware. The linebacking group looks the weakest part of this team but a team led by P Manning shouldn't worry about conceding a few points.Unless you're facing the Seahawks of course.

Detroit Lions- 8.5- UNDER- I don't understand why the line is so high. The most uninspiring head coach hiring (Jim Caldwell) to somehow lead an overrated QB and a ill disciplined defense in an incredibly competitive division.  They did nothing to shore up the weakest part of their team, the secondary, in the draft yet spent their first pick on a TE after resigning Branden Pettigrew to big money. No sense in this organisation. Caldwell is not the answer for this team and I am seeing a meltdown on par with the Falcons, Texans, Bucs occurring.

Green Bay Packers-10.5- UNDER- Every year the Packers are rated as one of the elite teams and every year they disappoint. Injuries always seem to plague the Packers despite being quoted as one of the deepest rosters in the NFL. The O Line especially is over rated and does Aaron Rodgers no favors. This division is going to be a lot tougher this year so I don't think it's a given that they win the division. 10 wins but not sure of that will be enough in the NFC North.

Houston Texans- 7.5- OVER- Things can't get worse can they? Well if Ryan Fitzpatrick is your starting QB then maybe. If Arian Foster can stay healthy this team can ride him on offense while the defense should be vastly improved with JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney as your pass rush. A last placed schedule also helps. Could give the Colts a run for the division.

Indianapolis Colts- 9.5- UNDER- The Colts may have the weakest roster in the NFL apart form that all important position at QB. Head coach Chuck Pagano and off coordinator Pep Hamilton are on the hot seat as they have been ineffective in their game planning.They have struggled to fit their schemes to their personnel and this may cost them the division and ultimately their jobs. They have the worst defense and the maybe the worst O Line in the division. That's not a recipe for repeating success. 8-8 or 9-7.

Jacksonville Jaguars-5- OVER- I like how the Jags finished last year, especially the defensive side of the ball. The addition of Chris Clemons and Red Bryant will only help this unit. I am quite bullish on the chances of rookie QB Blake Bortles being the real deal. It's only a matter of time until Chad Henne gets dropped to give the rookie a chance to show what he's got this season. The Jags will surprise a lot of people this year with their competitiveness and could be fighting for the division this year. 7-9.

Kansas City Chiefs- 8- UNDER- The Panthers of the AFC last year, they had an absurdly easy schedule against backup QB's which meant they fluked their way to 11-5 and the playoffs. This year they won't be so lucky with a tougher schedule against the NFC West. Their squad got noticeably worse on offense. Their receiving corp maybe the worst in the NFL and the O Line isn't that much better. The defensive front 7 is very strong but the secondary has major issues as well. This team is going to struggle to make it to .500.

Miami Dolphins-7.5- OVER- I don't trust the Dolphins O Line or QB Ryan Tannehill for that matter but how much worse could it get compared to last year? This team is always talked up as having potential but maybe people have to wake up to the fact that Joe Philbin is not a capable coach and Ryan Tannehill is not a good QB. This team was poorly constructed and with major holes at RB and LB. I just can't see this team getting a wildcard spot let alone beating the New England Patriots.

Minnesota Vikings-6.5- OVER- The Vikings had the best offseason in my opinion. Hiring Mike Zimmer has head coach, Norv Turner as offensive coordinator and selecting QB Teddy Bridgewater. All three of these moves instantly make the Vikings a sleeper team to win the NFC North this year. Zimmer will make this defense very strong while Turner has tons of weapons to use. Despite the tough start of the season this team should be in the run to win 8-10 wins and fighting for a wildcard position if not the division.

New England Patriots- 11-OVER- So this team was decimated by injuries to several key players and they still won 12 games? Taking the over by a lot. With the return of players like Wilfork, Mayo, Gronkowski and the FA signing of Darell Revis this team is going to be tougher to beat this year. Bill Belichick has the best defense he has coached in a decade which only spells trouble for the rest of the league. I have them going at least 14-2 and winning the Super Bowl. They have been so close without a good defense for years, now that they have one they have to be considered big contenders.

New Orlean Saints- 10.5- OVER- The Saints have been a trendy Super Bowl bound team this year but I can't see how they can get past the Seahawks. Their secondary is the very overrated with the additions of Jairus Byrd and Champ Bailey who got cut. Byrd can't stay healthy but they gave him a massive contract. Also the division won't be as easy as last year so I can't see them wining home field playoff  advantage they would need to even have a chance against the Seahawks. They are a good team but they still aren't a match for physical teams they will meet in the NFC playoffs.

New York Giants- 8- UNDER- Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning have to be one of the most overrated coach/QB pairs ever. Apart from winning 2 Super Bowls on the back of a playoff hot streak by the defensive unit these two have been average for a long time. Their 7-9 record last year hid the fact they were out of the playoffs halfway through the season. Coughlin should have been fired this offseason but loyalty to him and Eli means the Giants waste another year before they admit they need replacements at both positions. The Giants just don't seem to have the fight to win matches until it's too late in the season.

New York Jets-7- UNDER- This is the year that Rex Ryan finally gets found out for being a terrible head coach. He has a fantastic defensive mind but as shown complete disdain for the offensive side of the ball. He has failed to develop one decent offensive skill position player in his time with the Jets, something which doesn't get enough publicity. Now with a squad lacking talent on both sides the Jets are really going to struggle to be competitive this year. The secondary especially looks atrocious they won't stop anyone throwing. Re Ryan will be looking for another job by the end of the year. 4-6 wins this year.

Oakland Raiders- 5- UNDER- GM Reggie McKenzie and head coach Dennis Allen effectively ended their contracts with the Raiders when they tried to convince the NFL and the fans that Matt Schaub was the answer to the teams QB woes. Any sane person realised that Schaub was done after his meltdown with the Texans last year. Schaub isn't even starting Week 1, instead going with rookie Derek Carr who is nowhere near ready to face NFL defenses. It doesn't help they face the toughest schedule in the NFL either but this team just doesn't have elite talent anywhere on the roster. This team will most likely have the No.1 pick in next years draft along with a new head coach and GM.

Philadelphia Eagles- 9- OVER- Chip Kelly has done a great job quickly turning around this franchise and making it the top of the division. Offensively they are one of the best in the league while the defense should be improved. Despite the tougher schedule this year the fact that the division is so bad should see the Eagles reach ten wins.

Pittsburgh Steelers- 8.5- OVER- A disappointing 8-8 last year highlighted the fact that this team aren't the powerhouses that they are used to being. Mike Tomlin has done an average job since he became head coach and maybe on the hot seat if the team performs as poorly this year. The defensive side got some much needed additions from the draft including linebacker Ryan Shazier who looks like he will contribute immediately. On the offensive side Leveon Bell needs to get as many touches as possible as he is the all purpose RB they have been seeking since Jerome Bettis retired. I think the Steelers will make the playoffs again through a wildcard. 9-10 wins.

San Diego Chargers-8- OVER- Last year I picked the Chargers to make a wildcard spot and was proven correct by the slimmest of margins. Mike McCoy did a remarkable job of turning one of the weakest rosters in the NFL into a team which gave the Denver Broncos a real challenge in the division. With improvements on defense this team has a real chance in contending the Broncos this year with their run first, time consuming offense. 9-10 wins and a wildcard is in their reach.

San Francisco 49ers-10.5- UNDER- I get the feeling that the 49ers on the brink of some major changes by the end of this year. Jim Harbaugh seems to move on from places every 3-5 years and is difficult to get on with. The roster has seen some major hits with injuries and suspensions as well and along with a tough division and schedule I see the 49ers struggling to pick up a wildcard position. 8-9 wins.

Seattle Seahawks- 11- OVER- The reigning Super Bowl champs didn't lose anyone integral in the offseason so the team should carry on their domination of teams with their physical brand of football. The scariest part about this team is the fact Russell Wilson can get better and that Percy Harvin comes back from missing the entire regular season. With homefield advantage in playoffs most likely it's hard to see this team not getting to the Super Bowl. 13 wins.

St Louis Rams-6.5-UNDER- If the Rams could go 7-9 with Kellen Clemons as QB last year they can reach that at least with Shaun Hill. Their defense looks formidable with Gregg Williams dialing up aggressive blitzes this team will be a tough team to beat. However the team will always be limited by the fact that Brian Schottenheimer is still the OC here despite showing the creativity or competency for that job. 8-8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers- 7- OVER- If Greg Schiano wasn't so toxic a coach this teams record would have been far better last year. Thankfully Lovie Smith is far more competent as a HC and should put turn this team around immediately. They have the personal to be an elite defense with the likes of Gerald McCoy, Lavonte David and Mark Barron. The offense has some intriguing pieces but it depends on whether the offensive line can hold up to allow Josh McCown to throw downfield to his tall receivers. I have the Bucs coming second in the division and vying for a wildcard spot.

Tennessee Titans- 7- OVER- I like the move for Ken Whisenhunt and i'm a believer he can turn this team into a playoff contender this year. It all depends on whther Jake Locker can stay healthy. If he can I think this offense has the receiving threats to go against their division rivals. The defense is a work in progress but it can't get much worse. 8-9 wins and fighting for the division.

Washington D.C- 7.5- UNDER- Not a fan of RGIII as a QB, he hasn't developed into a pocket passer, turning into the right handed version of Mike Vick. If Jay Gruden's last name wasn't so he wouldn't get a sniff of a head coaching role. Along with the fact that the defense is terrible this team is looking at another bad season. 6 wins.




AFC North Champ- Baltimore Ravens
AFC East Champ- New England Patriots
AFC South Champ- Indianapolis Colts
AFC West Champ- Denver Broncos
Wildcard spots- San Diego Chargers, Pittsburgh Steelers

NFC North Champ- Minnesota Vikings
NFC East Champ- Philadelphia Eagles
NFC South Champ- New Orleans Saints
NFC West Champ- Seattle Seahawks
Wildcard spots- Tampa Bay Bucs, Green Bay Packers

AFC Championship- New England Patriots over Denver Broncos
NFC Championship- Seattle Seahawks over New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl- New England over the Seattle Seahawks


Bottom 5- Oakland Raiders, Buffalo Bills, NY Jets, Detroit Lions, NY Giants

2014 NFL Final Mock Draft

The Draft finally is here. After an extra two weeks the fatigue levels for NFL enthusiasts, scouts and execs are at critical levels. All of that will be go when the commissioner walks onto the stage and announces the first overall pick.
Here is my final mock draft. It contains a lot of trade scenarios to make it semi realistic to give an idea of how the draft could turn out. This mock draft is me trying to think how each individual team will deal with the draft as it unfolds. As a result there is a lot of movement as I think there will be tonight.

1. Houston Texans- Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina

The Texans really have done a good job hiding who they have on top of their board. It does seem likely though they go with the safe pick in Clowney unless they get a trade deal they can't refuse. Their need at QB is glaring but perhaps they get lucky and see Teddy Bridgewater drop to them at No.33. I personally think they should be looking to grab Mike Glennon off the Bucs for their 3rd round pick. He had a solid rookie season and fits the QB traits that Bill O'Brien likes.

2. St Louis Rams- Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn

The Rams have been making some of the biggest smokescreens in terms of interest in Johnny Manziel, Khalil Mack, Sammy Watkins. I don't believe teams will fall for it and so the Rams will have to take the player they wanted need in Robinson. He can slide into guard in the beginning and help protect Sam Bradford as well as become a mauler in the run game. It's him or Jake Matthews for the Rams, if not I don't think Les Snead is going to last much longer in his job. They simply must protect their QB to have any chance of competing in the NFC West.

3. Atlanta Falcons (trade with Jacksonville)- Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo

The Falcons give up the No.6, No. 68 and 2015 2nd round pick to move up three spots to grab Mack. I really hope for Falcons fans that they just stay put and grab a tackle but I just don't think GM Dimitroff can help himself. Mack is a great prospect who won't get out of the Top 5 but is the value here for the Falcons? Players like Dee Ford, Demarcus Lawrence and Jeremiah Attaochu could be around at their next pick at No.37 while the tackles available will be thin by that stage.

4. Cleveland Browns- Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M

I still think the Browns have an interest in Bridgewater but they may use their second pick to grab him. Evans is a red zone threat who complements Josh Gordon better than Sammy Watkins in those terms. The reports of Johnny Manziel going here have never made any sense to me.

5. Buffalo Bills (trade with Oakland)- Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M

The Bills give up the No.9, 73 and 2015 2nd rd pick to move up and grab Matthews who will help protect E.J Manuel. The talk of them moving up to No.1 for Clowney is smokescreen. Their O Line didn't receive enough criticism last year in pass protection and opening up holes in the running game.

6. Jacksonville Jaguars- Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Jaguars grab the WR they need to replace Justin Blackmon who won't return from his suspension in a hurry.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M

The first QB off the board goes and the crowd will go crazy at Radio City. The Bucs have been linked with Manziel for the last month despite Mike Glennon having a good rookie season last year. They really should be focusing on the O Line which was underwhelming last year. Lovie Smith doesn't seem to pay much attention to that if his Bears teams are any indication though.

8. New York Giants (trade with Minnesota)- Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan

The Giants give up the No.12 and 74 picks to get Lewan. It sounds like the Giants aren't interested in TE Eric Ebron. Aaron Donald is another option here but I think the Giants focus on fixing a porous O line. LT Will Beatty was ineffective last year and is injury prone.

9. Oakland Raiders- Aaron Donald, DT, Penn State

The Raiders go best player available with the Donald who did everything in his power in the draft process to show he is worth a Top 10 selection. Provides a interior pass rush in a division with Peyton Manning and Andy Reid's pass heavy offence.

10. Miami Dolphins (trade with Detroit)- Zack Martin, OT/G, Notre Dame

The Dolphins give up the No.19, and 50 pick to move up and grab Martin. The early selections of the three top OT's means teams with O Line help like the Dolphins may have to trade up. If the Dolphins don't address their O Line in the first that would be one of the bigger shocks of the draft. Zack Martin can play either guard or tackle and is a high character player which is more important for Miami for obvious reasons.

11. San Francisco 49ers (trade with Tennessee Titans)- Odell Beckham Junior, WR, LSU

The 49ers trade up big, giving up No. 30, 56, 94 and 129 to the Titans to grab Beckham. This trade makes sense for both teams. The Titans are short of picks in this deep draft and the 49ers have too many picks to use. The 49ers may look to select a CB here instead like Kyle Fuller but Odell Beckham is a great prospect considering Michael Crabtree is reaching the end of his contract and Anquan Boldin can't last forever.

12. Minnesota Vikings- Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan St

Mike Zimmer likes playing nickle a lot so he can't have enough cornerbacks. The Vikings aren't entirely impressed with the top QB options by the sound of things. Maybe they are happy with Matt Cassell as a stop gap for one year while they develop a mid round pick like Logan Thomas or Tom Savage.

13. Arizona Cardinals (trade with St Louis)- Blake Bortles, QB, UCF

Cardinals give up the No.20, 84 and a 2015 2nd Rd to the Rams to grab their QB of the future. If the Cardinals are that interested in Bortles I can't seem them sitting at No.20 and hope he falls to them.

14. Chicago Bears- Ha Ha Clinton Dix, S, Alabama.

The best safety prospect is left on the board for the team with the biggest need, too easy.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers- Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech

Ike Taylor's days as a shutdown corner are over, time for an heir. Fuller is a physical but sound technician who can learn off the Taylor the nuances of the position. Rashede Hagemann has been linked here a lot but the secondary needs some serious infusion of youth.

16. Philadelphia Eagles (trade with Dallas)- Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA

The Eagles give up the No.22 and 86 picks to grab Barr. Chip Kelly has been trying hard to trade for Miami's Dion Jordan without success. He really wants that athletic speed rusher for his defence, Barr is best speed option in this draft. The Cowboys are looking for any type of trade back despite the fact they need pass rush help.

17. Baltimore Ravens- Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina

The Ravens just wait for value to drop to them, Ebron is a perfect addition to Kubiak's offence which uses TE's heavily in the passing game. Will be a problem down the seam's of defences if he can focus on catching the ball consistently. Right tackle is another option here with prospects like Morgan Moses and Jawuan James.

18. New York Jets- Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon St

The Jets need to give Geno Smith every chance to prove he can succeed in the NFL. Despite the addition of Eric Decker they need someone opposite him. Cooks is a fast and dangerous with the ball in his hands. Can play outside and in the slot. The crowd could lose their minds if they decide to go CB here but it wouldn't be surprising.

19. Detroit Lions- Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville

I just struggle to believe that the Lions will invest in CB this early when they invested in Darius Slay and Bill Bentley in the 2nd and 3rd rounds respectfully last year. Safety is a bigger issue where the addition of James Ideghibo is not a solution, he's a rotation/special teams player at best. Pryor would bring a physical element to the secondary that the Lions have been missing.

20. St Louis Rams- Ryan Shazier, OLB, Ohio State

The Rams need help in the secondary but Fisher may wait till Day 2 to address that area. Shazier will fill the WLB position and help create one of the fastest front sevens in the NFL.

21. Cleveland Browns (trade with Green Bay)- Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville

Browns give up the No.26 and 71st pick to stop the fall of Bridgewater. Rumours that the Chiefs and the Bengals are interested in Bridgewater push the Browns to move ahead of them.

22. Tennessee Titans (trade with Dallas)- Rashede Hagemann, DT, Minnesota

Titans move back up the first round to give Ray Horton a Calais Campbell like DT to work with. Give up the No.30, 94 and 129 to move ahead of the Chiefs. Hagemann is one of the bigger boom/bust prospects in this years draft.

23. Oakland Raiders (trade with the Chiefs)- Derek Carr, QB, Fresno

The Raiders beat the Jaguars to Carr by giving up their No.36, 73 and the Bills 2015 2nd rd pick to move up. I don't like Carr as a prospect but the Raiders are trying. Oakland fans are going to find out very quickly that Matt Schaub is not the answer. The Chiefs are an ideal trade back team as they only have six picks and are missing a 2nd round pick thanks to the Alex Smith trade.

24. Cincinnati Bengals- Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State

Best player available approach for the Bengals, they need an infusion of new CB blood ad Roby has the best physical tools of this class. Has red flags but that hasn't stopped the Bengals in the past.

25. San Diego Chargers- Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State

Gilbert falls due to his lack of physicalness and his unwillingness to tackle. Has the speed and change of direction to cover on the outside though which is important against a passing attack like the Broncos. The Chargers need any sort of the infusion in the secondary.

26. Green Bay Packers- C.J Mosley, LB, Alabama

The Packers drop back and still get one of the best linebacker prospects this year. Mosley could very well drop to the backend of the first round due to injury concerns. Will be an instant impact starter for the Packers and can move around the line.

27. New Orleans Saints- Marcus Martin, C, USC

With the lack of center prospects I can see Martin or Colorado States Weston Richburg slipping into the back of the first. The Saints have a big hole there currently. They could also go CB or WR here depending on the way the draft unfolds.

28. Carolina Panthers- Joel Bitonio, OT/G, Nevada

Carolina have the biggest holes in the most spots in the NFL with LT, CB and No 1 & 2 WR positions. Joel Bitonio has been linked with them along with Morgan Moses and Jawuan James. The Panthers have to protect Cam Newton to have any chance of repeating last years success.

29. Jacksonville Jaguars (trade with New England)- Jeremiah Attaochu, OLB, Georgia Tech

Jags give up the No.39, 105 and 114 to the Patriots. Every year there seems to be a surprise selection when it comes to pass rushers. Attaochu fits the 'Leo' linebacker role Dan Bradley wants in his defence, he coached him during the Senior Bowl so he got a upfront view of what he can do.

30. Dallas Cowboys- Xavier Su'a-Filo, G, UCLA

Despite the obvious needs on the defence the Cowboys do need an upgrade at guard, why not get the best prospect in the draft. DE and DT can wait till the second day.

31. Denver Broncos- Jimmie Ward, S, Northern Illinois

Jimmie Ward offers the best coverage skills of any of the safeties this year, would complement T.J Ward well.

32. New York Jets (trade with Seattle)- Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech

The Jets give up the No.49, 104, 154 and 233 picks to move back into the first round. The Jets double down on offensive weapons for Geno Smith. Amaro could be a very good safety option for him.

A few surprises I know but the first round always, does so why not make a mock draft with some? Love to hear people's comments and views.

Also here is a link to my other article on the 2014 NFL draft, full of lists of players to look out for over the weekend.

Enjoy the draft!

NFL 2014 Draft Preview- List-tastic

After what seems a lifetime the 2014 NFL Draft is finally here. This years draft at Radio City, New York should be the most watched draft yet with intriguing storylines and players such as Johnny Manziel, Jadeveon Clowney and Teddy Bridgewater.

The deepest draft in recent history means that there is no consensus on who the picks will be after Jadeveon Clowney is most likely picked No.1 overall. With a record amount of underclassmen declaring early for this draft, 98 to be exact,  there are going to be a lot of future NFL starters going undrafted this year. Smart teams are going to trade back and accrue picks in the mid rounds. Unwise teams will mortgage future picks under pressure to perform this season or have their jobs terminated. The Draft as an event is compelling, captivating and full of drama, a perfect television event.

 Therefore I have produced a list of lists to give people the key players in the draft-underrated,overrated, trade scenarios, late round contributors. I don't watch a lot of film on players but I'm a information gatherer. If you figure out what sources and reports to trust you can get a very good idea of where players will be selected and what teams are looking for. Last year I won the First Round Exchange Draft Week Challenge by choosing the best risers in terms of stock before the draft occurred.

I was high on Kyle Long as well who ended up surprising a lot of people by landing with the Bears in the first round.

I don't show this to gloat. Only to say that is possible to get a very good gauge of where players will get drafted by sifting through articles, reports and interviews of NFL personnel, scouts, reporters and draftniks. So worth without further ado enjoy:

Locks for Top 10

Jadeveon Clowney
Khalil Mack
Sammy Watkins
Mike Evans
Greg Robinson

95% certain

Jake Matthews
Aaron Donald

50/50

Odell Beckham Jr
Taylor Lewan
Ha Ha Clinton Dix
Teddy Bridgewater
Blake Bortles

Dark Horses

Rashede Hagemann

Calvin Pryor
Justin Gilbert

Overrated Prospects

1.Tom Savage, WR, Pittsburgh- Has come out of nowhere the last two months to be invited to the green room at Radio City. Big armed QB who transferred twice and didn't start a game of football for more than a 1000 days between  Rutgers and Pittsburgh. Comparisons of Tom Brady sum it up.  Slow decision maker, got sacked the most in all of college football last year. Has shown flashes but there is no way he should be considered a Day 2 pick let alone the first round.

2. Eric Ebron, TE, NC- To be a consistent receiving threat you need to have great hands. That's it. Ebron has the size and speed to be a receiving threat down the seam but his hands and concentration are suspect. He makes tough catches but drops easy ones as well. He's not a inline blocker either so it all depends on whether he can be consistent catcher. I just don't buy it. Compared to Vernon Davis early on, looks more like Jermaine Gresham.

3. Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State- Has great measurables but shows no willingness as a tackler. Now that teams run their nickle package a lot to negate prolific passing attacks CB's have to be able to play the run and tackle in the open field.  The days of Asante Samuel like CB's are over. 

4. Marqise Lee, WR, USC- Same case with Ebron, has poor catching technique. He runs good routes but if he can't consistently catch he's not going to be any good to a team. He also gets injured very easily and will spend his time on the injury list a lot.

5. Derek Carr, QB, Fresno- Classic case of the 'prototypical'  QB who wows scouts/execs with his big arm despite struggling with accuracy and handles pressure badly. The way the NFL has worked lately he isn't going to have the luxury of sitting for a couple of years behind a vet. Blaine Gabbert like train crash waiting to happen

6. Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida- Ditto for Bortles except he has poor mechanics and is rated higher then Carr which means he will be drafted as a starter which means he is almost guaranteed to be thrown in the fire. Both these guys should be Round 2 picks.

7. Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA- Speed rusher who's only played the position for two years. Gets bullied at the point of attack in the rushing game, looks lost sometimes. I'm just not sure whether he has the instincts to pick up the positional nuance needed to justify a first round grade selection.

Underrated Prospects

1. Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville- Too thin, hand size too small, no cannon arm, introvert, poor pro day, THE case study for the NFL not wanting to move from there antiquated ways of what a successful QB should look like. Just forget the fact that Bridgewater is the most accurate, has worked in a complicated prostyle, understands and dismantle defences. Just like Russell Wilson he is going to redefine the position and make many people in the NFL look foolish.

2. Jason Verrett, CB, TCU- I've lost count the amount of people saying 'if only he was a couple of inches taller' argument for Verrett. Pound for Pound he is the best CB prospect this year. Extremely quick and physical he could become the next Antoine Winfield. Will most likely fall out of the first round discussion but a team in the early 2nd will get a steal.

3. Ryan Shazier, LB, OSU- Another smaller athlete for his position, the emergence of Lavonte David at WLB means we can project Shazier with a little more certainty. Relentless motor and tackling machine. Can play inside or out in a 3-4 or 4-3.

4. Jarvis Landry, WR, LSU- This year's Keenan Allen, poor 40 times will drop him well into Day 2 but he makes some of the most difficult catches in the entire class and is an excellent blocker. Cannot afford to get injured with his lack of speed but will help a team immediately where ever he lands.

6. Telvin Smith, LB, FSU

7. Lamarcus Joyner, CB/S, FSU Both these guys are undersized but play with great instincts for the game. Joyner could become the next Mathieu type S/WR tweener who can cover in the slot but is a good tackler and playmaker. Telvin Smith needs to add some pounds on his lean body but with an NFL diet he should be fill out in time.

Prospects who may drop further then people imagined

1. Timmy Jernigan, DT, FSU- Diluted urine sample for drug test plus average tape means he most likely will slip into the 2nd day.

2. Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington- Injuries have limited him in the draft process, a DUI will be a red flag to some teams but the big reason he may fall is simply is tape. Seferian-Jenkins just doesn't look like special athlete they should be picked in the top two rounds.

3. Antonio Richardson, OT, Tennessee- Unlike his fellow Tennessee tackle Jawuan James, Richardson is not being seen as a viable LT. Lack of athleticism and power will mean he could fall into late Day 2 even Day 3.

4. Shayne Skov, ILB, Stanford- Hasn't worked out during the draft process due to injury but some think he has been hiding away because of a really slow 40 time. Regardless he is going to fall into the late Day 3, maybe undrafted.

Mid Range Instant Impact

1. Jordan Tripp, LB, Montana- Versatile, quick and physical, will do in Day 2.

2. Jordan Zumwalt, ILB, UCLA- Big hitter. Will be a instant starter at MLB in Day 2.

3.Justin Ellis, DT, Louisiana Tech- Impressed at the Shrine game and Senior Bowl, big man who can play as a NT in 3-4.

4. Jarvis Landry, WR, LSU- Solid hands, good route runner, blocks in run game.

5. Dakota Dozier, OG, Furman- Larry Warford like value with Dozier in Day 2, starter for a lucky team.

Worst pick selection scenarios

1. Atlanta picks Taylor Lewan over Jake Matthews- Dimitroff is in danger of getting himself fired with his questionable moves over the last couple of seasons. Matthews is rock solid and there is no way Lewan should get picked before him. Has major red flags.

2.Detroit trades up to grab Sammy Watkins or Mike Evans- In the deepest WR draft class in years after signing Golden Tate to a $31 mllion deal? They have more serious issues in the secondary.

3.Browns pick Manziel at No.4- So they fire Lombardi/Banner who coveted Manziel and then go onto select Manziel regardless? Smells fishy to me but it is the Browns so you have to assume they will select the wrong QB.

4.The Bengals pass on Bridgewater if he is there at No.24- Andy Dalton is not the answer, Bridgewater would be an instant upgrade and a cheaper one, too easy not to do.

5.The Jags move back into the first round to grab Jimmy Garoppolo.

Jimmy is a Round 3 onwards developmental QB not a Day 1 starter. 

Dumbest 'legitimate' draft scenarios which won't happen

1. Cleveland wait till the No.26 to pick Teddy Bridgewater/Manziel- This could happen though because the Browns have shown to be that stupid. They NEED a franchise QB. They will have the pick of QB's at No.4 If they do pass there they have the picks to trade back into the mid first

2. The Bills trading up to No.1 for Clowney- They don't have a need at DE, they have more pressing need on the O Line, would cost them too much to move up from nine.

3. The 49ers trading into the Top 5 to grab Mike Evans. Same here for the 49ers, they would have to give up most of their picks to get into the Top 5, the value is not there.

4. Cowboys select Johnny Manziel at No.16- Even Jerry Jones is smart enough to figure out his defence needs an infusion of weapons over a replacement for Tony Romo.

Consensus picks in mock draft community which probably won't happen.

1. Zack Martin OT/G, Notre Dame to the Miami Dolphins at 19.

2. Carlos Hyde, RB, Ohio State to the Tennessee Titans at 42.
3. Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State to the Detroit Lions at 10.
4. Rashede Hagemann/Louis Nix III to the New England Patriots at 29
5. Anthony Barr OLB, UCLA to Tennessee Titans at 11.

Hot Names 

1. Trai Turner, OG, LSU- Came out earlier then expected, raw but has the tolls to become a Pro Bowl guard. Could go as high as the middle of Round 2.

2. Kevin Pierre-Louis, OLB, Boston College- Short and light but extremely explosive, somebody is going to put him to good use. 

3. Jawuan James,OT, Tennessee- There is talk of him going as high as No.19 to Miami .

4. Laurant Duvernay-Tardif, OT, Canada- A French-Candian tackle who has wowed scouts with his measurables and intangibles. Won't make it passed Round 5 despite his lack of competition in college.

5. Stanley Jean Baptiste, CB, Nebraska- The big, long armed CB is in vogue, Baptiste has been compared to Brandon Browner and Nnamdi Asomugha. Reports are going out he may sneak into backend of Round 1.

Biggest Risers during draft process

1. Tom Savage, QB

2. Joel Bitonio, OT/G- Nevada

3. Aaron Donald, DT, Penn St

4. Cody Latimer, Wr, Indiana

5. Stanley Jean Baptiste, CB.

Biggest losers during the draft process

1. Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama

2. Will Sutton, DT, Arizona State

3. AJ McCarron, QB, Alabama

4. Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State

5. Colt Lyerla, TE

6. Seantrel Henderson, OT, Miami (FL)

Mid to Late round players I like

1.Terrance West, RB, Towson

2. Storm Johnson, RB, UCF

3. Trai Turner, OG, LSU

4. Bashaud Breeland, CB, Clemson

5. Charles Sims, RB, West Virginia 

6. Joe Don Duncan, TE, Dixie State

7. Keith Wenning, QB, Ball State

8. Caraun Reid, DT, Princeton

9. Jaylen Watkins, CB, Florida

10. Jared Abbrederis, WR, Wisconsin

11. C.J Fiedorowicz, TE, Iowa

12. Phillip Gaines, CB, Rice
13. Jordan Tripp, LB, Montana

Please feel free to give feedback, comments appreciated. Enjoy the draft.

2013 Week 3 Fantasy Football TE Rankings

Week 3 Fantasy Football TE Rankings- 

1. Jimmy Graham (NO) vs ARI

2. Julius Thomas (DEN) vs OAK

3. Jason Witten (DAL) vs STL

4. Jordan Cameron (CLE) @ MIN

5. Antonio Gates (SD) @ TEN

6. Owen Daniels (HOU) @ BAL

7. Jared Cook (STL) @ DAL

8. Jermichael Finley (GB) @ CIN

9. Greg Olsen (CAR) vs NYG

10. Brandon Myers (NYG) @ CAR

11. Tony Gonzalez (ATL) @ MIA

12. Martellus Bennett (CHI) @ PIT

13. Tyler Eifert (CIN) vs GB

14. Coby Fleener (IND) @ SAN

15.  Vernon Davis (SF) vs  IND

16. Jermaine Gresham (CIN) vs GB

17. Charles Clay (MIA) @ Falcons 

18. Kellen Winslow (NYJ) vs BUF

19. Jordan Reed (WAS) vs  DET 

20. Brandon Pettigrew (DET) @ WAS

22. Kyle Rudolph (MIN) vs CLE

23. Vance McDonald (SAN) vs IND

24. Fred Davis (WAS) vs DET